Longshot Edge Morning Brief — 2026-10-14
2026-10-14 · Auto-published daily by Longshot Edge
Good morning. We ran the numbers on 1 games today (1 MLB). The cleanest spot on the board is Los Angeles Dodgers over Milwaukee Brewers at 54% (-170) — a modest 54% lean — fine as a small play or a parlay leg. pitching matchup: blake snell (1.90 era) vs robert gasser (3.87 era). Below are the leans we're most confident in, the player props worth a look, today's Smart Fun Parlay, and how our recent picks have landed.
Today's best bets
- Los Angeles Dodgers to beat Milwaukee Brewers — 54% (-170, Lean lean). A modest 54% lean — fine as a small play or a parlay leg. Pitching matchup: Blake Snell (1.90 ERA) vs Robert Gasser (3.87 ERA).
Player props to watch
- Robert Gasser (Milwaukee Brewers) — Over 5.0 Strikeouts (proj 5.2, 3.87 ERA)
- Brice Turang (Milwaukee Brewers) — Over 0.5 Hits (proj 1.0, .268 AVG)
- Blake Snell (Los Angeles Dodgers) — Over 6.0 Strikeouts (proj 6.1, 1.90 ERA)
- Freddie Freeman (Los Angeles Dodgers) — Over 1.0 Hits (proj 1.1, .288 AVG)
Smart Fun Parlay of the day
54% to hit. A small-stake, big-grin ticket built around today's edges:
- Los Angeles Dodgers — MLB, -170 (54%)
How we're doing
Last graded slate (2026-10-07) we went 1-0 on the board. Milwaukee Brewers WIN. Lifetime on confident (Strong + Solid) picks: 32-53 (37.6%). Every pick is on our public track record.
Analysis and entertainment only. We never take wagers. 21+. If gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.