Player props
Player Props
Our model projection for each player and a plain-English lean. These are projections for research, not graded edges — they are excluded from our public win-rate and ROI. Stack the ones you like into a fun slip.
Foster Griffin
Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox · MLB · 3.65 ERA
Strikeouts 4.5
Over 5.0
56%
hit
Rafael Devers
San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals · MLB · .258 AVG
Hits 0.5
Over 1.0
63%
hit
Cristopher Sánchez
Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals · MLB · 2.79 ERA
Strikeouts 6.5
Over 7.0
55%
hit
Sal Stewart
Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers · MLB · .268 AVG
Hits 0.5
Over 1.0
63%
hit
Braydon Fisher
Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers · MLB · 3.22 ERA
Strikeouts 7.5
Over 8.0
55%
hit
Bo Bichette
New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles · MLB · .261 AVG
Hits 0.5
Over 1.0
63%
hit
Andre Pallante
St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants · MLB · 3.45 ERA
Strikeouts 3.5
Over 3.9
55%
hit
Pete Alonso
Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets · MLB · .268 AVG
Hits 0.5
Over 1.0
63%
hit
Bailey Ober
Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees · MLB · 4.28 ERA
Strikeouts 3.5
Over 3.9
55%
hit
Ernie Clement
Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers · MLB · .271 AVG
Hits 0.5
Over 1.0
63%
hit
Ryan Johnson
Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners · MLB · 5.12 ERA
Strikeouts 3.5
Over 3.9
55%
hit
CJ Abrams
Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies · MLB · .264 AVG
Hits 0.5
Over 1.0
63%
hit
Hunter Brown
Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals · MLB · 3.52 ERA
Strikeouts 5.5
Over 5.9
54%
hit
Bryce Harper
Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals · MLB · .272 AVG
Hits 0.5
Over 1.0
63%
hit
Sean Manaea
New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles · MLB · 4.79 ERA
Strikeouts 7.5
Over 7.9
53%
hit
Brandon Nimmo
Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox · MLB · .263 AVG
Hits 0.5
Over 1.0
63%
hit
Jackson Kent
Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies · MLB · 6.59 ERA
Strikeouts 3.5
Over 3.8
53%
hit
Ben Rice
New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins · MLB · .263 AVG
Hits 0.5
Over 1.0
63%
hit
Chris Murphy
Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians · MLB · 3.94 ERA
Strikeouts 5.5
Over 5.8
52%
hit
Steven Kwan
Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox · MLB · .278 AVG
Hits 0.5
Over 1.0
63%
hit
Kevin Gausman
Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves · MLB · 4.60 ERA
Strikeouts 5.5
Over 5.7
51%
hit
Chase Meidroth
Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians · MLB · .267 AVG
Hits 0.5
Over 1.0
63%
hit
Jacob Misiorowski
Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates · MLB · 1.95 ERA
Strikeouts 8.5
Over 8.7
50%
hit
Zach Neto
Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners · MLB · .242 AVG
Hits 0.5
Over 1.0
63%
hit
Drew Anderson
Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays · MLB · 3.80 ERA
Strikeouts 11.5
Over 11.7
50%
hit
Jeff McNeil
Athletics vs Tampa Bay Rays · MLB · .267 AVG
Hits 0.5
Over 0.9
59%
hit
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds · MLB · 2.62 ERA
Strikeouts 6.5
Over 6.6
49%
hit
Josh Bell
Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees · MLB · .255 AVG
Hits 0.5
Over 0.9
59%
hit
Jacob deGrom
Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox · MLB · 3.80 ERA
Strikeouts 6.5
Over 6.6
49%
hit
Yandy Díaz
Tampa Bay Rays vs Athletics · MLB · .301 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.2
34%
hit
Jack Perkins
Athletics vs Tampa Bay Rays · MLB · 6.53 ERA
Strikeouts 8.0
Over 8.5
48%
hit
Otto Lopez
Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks · MLB · .307 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.2
34%
hit
Kyle Freeland
Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres · MLB · 6.37 ERA
Strikeouts 4.0
Over 4.5
47%
hit
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves · MLB · .281 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Logan Gilbert
Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels · MLB · 3.72 ERA
Strikeouts 6.0
Over 6.4
46%
hit
Michael Harris II
Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs · MLB · .292 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Blade Tidwell
San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals · MLB · 4.82 ERA
Strikeouts 5.0
Over 5.4
45%
hit
TJ Rumfield
Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres · MLB · .299 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Janson Junk
Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks · MLB · 4.54 ERA
Strikeouts 3.0
Over 3.4
44%
hit
Fernando Tatis Jr.
San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies · MLB · .289 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Lake Bachar
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers · MLB · 3.52 ERA
Strikeouts 9.0
Over 9.2
44%
hit
Alec Burleson
St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants · MLB · .285 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Michael Soroka
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins · MLB · 3.53 ERA
Strikeouts 5.0
Over 5.3
44%
hit
Freddie Freeman
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds · MLB · .293 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Griffin Jax
Tampa Bay Rays vs Athletics · MLB · 3.99 ERA
Strikeouts 5.0
Over 5.2
42%
hit
Kevin McGonigle
Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays · MLB · .273 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Shane Baz
Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets · MLB · 4.05 ERA
Strikeouts 5.0
Over 5.2
42%
hit
Ceddanne Rafaela
Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers · MLB · .282 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Patrick Sandoval
Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers · MLB · 4.58 ERA
Strikeouts 5.0
Over 5.2
42%
hit
Yordan Alvarez
Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals · MLB · .310 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Max Fried
New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins · MLB · 2.73 ERA
Strikeouts 5.0
Over 5.2
42%
hit
Bobby Witt Jr.
Kansas City Royals vs Houston Astros · MLB · .280 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Walker Buehler
San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies · MLB · 4.61 ERA
Strikeouts 4.0
Over 4.2
41%
hit
Nick Gonzales
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers · MLB · .304 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Michael Wacha
Kansas City Royals vs Houston Astros · MLB · 3.25 ERA
Strikeouts 5.0
Over 5.1
40%
hit
William Contreras
Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates · MLB · .273 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Martín Pérez
Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs · MLB · 3.08 ERA
Strikeouts 4.0
Over 4.1
39%
hit
Gabriel Moreno
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins · MLB · .301 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Rhett Lowder
Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers · MLB · 5.81 ERA
Strikeouts 4.0
Over 4.1
39%
hit
Josh Naylor
Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels · MLB · .269 AVG
Hits 1.0
Over 1.1
30%
hit
Model projections — not graded edges. The line shown is our own projection benchmark, not a live sportsbook prop line, and the “hit %” is a Poisson estimate from each player's season rate. These are for research and for building fun slips — they are not tracked in our public win-rate or ROI record. Real sportsbook prop lines are on the roadmap.
Prop slips (for fun)
Safe prop parlay+296
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits63%
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Hits63%
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits63%
25%combined hit
$39.6on $10
3legs
Our three highest-probability prop leans today, stacked.
Longshot prop parlay+3567
William Contreras Over 1.0 Hits30%
Gabriel Moreno Over 1.0 Hits30%
Josh Naylor Over 1.0 Hits30%
3%combined hit
$366.69on $10
3legs
Lower-probability leans with a bigger payout if they all land.
Built from model projections, not graded edges — not counted in our public record.
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