Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals grade out as the side to be on versus Baltimore Orioles, at 51% to win. Essentially a coin flip at 51% — entertainment only, not a spot to press.

Why we lean this way

• Form & record: St. Louis Cardinals sit 66-66 (0.500), Baltimore Orioles 63-68 (0.481).
• Last 10: St. Louis Cardinals 5-5 (L3), Baltimore Orioles 5-5 (L1). Hot streaks move these lines fast.
• Run differential: St. Louis Cardinals -2, Baltimore Orioles -35 on the year — the most honest measure of how good a team actually is, beyond their record.
• On the mound: St. Louis Cardinals hand the ball to TBD; Baltimore Orioles counter with Chris Bassitt. Starting pitching swings a baseball game more than any other factor.
• Home field: worth about +3.5% to St. Louis Cardinals in our model.

The verdict

Bottom line: St. Louis Cardinals to win is a near coin-flip. Treat it like a 51% spot — not a sure thing, because there is no such thing. Size it sensibly and enjoy the game.

Logged to our public track record and graded after the final. We analyze; we never take wagers. 21+.