Chicago White Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals grade out as the side to be on versus Chicago White Sox, at 51% to win. Essentially a coin flip at 51% — entertainment only, not a spot to press. Pitching matchup: Michael McGreevy (3.92 ERA) vs David Sandlin (6.93 ERA).

Why we lean this way

• Form & record: St. Louis Cardinals sit 73-76 (0.490), Chicago White Sox 76-72 (0.514).
• Last 10: St. Louis Cardinals 4-6 (L1), Chicago White Sox 3-7 (W1). Hot streaks move these lines fast.
• Run differential: St. Louis Cardinals -9, Chicago White Sox +36 on the year — the most honest measure of how good a team actually is, beyond their record.
• On the mound: St. Louis Cardinals hand the ball to Michael McGreevy; Chicago White Sox counter with David Sandlin. Starting pitching swings a baseball game more than any other factor.
• Home field: worth about +3.5% to St. Louis Cardinals in our model.

The verdict

Bottom line: St. Louis Cardinals to win is a near coin-flip. Treat it like a 51% spot — not a sure thing, because there is no such thing. Size it sensibly and enjoy the game.

Logged to our public track record and graded after the final. We analyze; we never take wagers. 21+.