Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers

Detroit Tigers grade out as the side to be on versus Colorado Rockies, at 53% to win. A modest 53% lean — fine as a small play or a parlay leg. Pitching matchup: Framber Valdez (4.17 ERA) vs Mason Adams (3.95 ERA).

Why we lean this way

• Form & record: Detroit Tigers sit 67-79 (0.459), Colorado Rockies 55-91 (0.377).
• Last 10: Detroit Tigers 4-6 (W1), Colorado Rockies 3-7 (L4). Hot streaks move these lines fast.
• Run differential: Detroit Tigers +55, Colorado Rockies -154 on the year — the most honest measure of how good a team actually is, beyond their record.
• On the mound: Detroit Tigers hand the ball to Framber Valdez; Colorado Rockies counter with Mason Adams. Starting pitching swings a baseball game more than any other factor.
• Home field: worth about +3.5% to Detroit Tigers in our model.

The verdict

Bottom line: Detroit Tigers to win is a slight lean. Treat it like a 53% spot — not a sure thing, because there is no such thing. Size it sensibly and enjoy the game.

Logged to our public track record and graded after the final. We analyze; we never take wagers. 21+.