MLB · 2026-09-08
Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium
Colorado Rockies
55-88
VS
New York Yankees
81-62
69%
New York Yankees win probability · -310
Tale of the tape
31%Win probability69%
0.385Win %0.566
-140Run differential+117
Strong-310 · BetOnline.ag
New York Yankees to win
The market (76%) rates this higher than our model (69%) — no real edge, so we pass.
New York Yankees grade out as the side to be on versus Colorado Rockies, at 69% to win. A clear 69% edge — one of the cleaner spots on the board. Pitching matchup: Cam Schlittler (2.04 ERA) vs Gabriel Hughes (6.19 ERA).
Why we lean this way
- Form & record: New York Yankees sit 81-62 (0.566), Colorado Rockies 55-88 (0.385).
- Last 10: New York Yankees 6-4 (L1), Colorado Rockies 3-7 (L1). Hot streaks move these lines fast.
- Run differential: New York Yankees +117, Colorado Rockies -140 on the year — the most honest measure of how good a team actually is, beyond their record.
- On the mound: New York Yankees hand the ball to Cam Schlittler; Colorado Rockies counter with Gabriel Hughes. Starting pitching swings a baseball game more than any other factor.
- Home field: worth about +3.5% to New York Yankees in our model.
The verdict
The play we like: New York Yankees. It is a strong lean at 69% — good value, not a lock. Bet what is fun to lose.
Logged to our public track record and graded after the final. We analyze; we never take wagers. 21+.
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