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Home/MLB/Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees
MLB · 2026-09-10

Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees

Yankee Stadium

Colorado Rockies
55-90
VS
New York Yankees
83-62
68%
New York Yankees win probability · -280
Tale of the tape
32%Win probability68%
0.379Win %0.572
-147Run differential+124
Strong-280 · LowVig.ag
New York Yankees to win
The market (74%) rates this higher than our model (68%) — no real edge, so we pass.

New York Yankees grade out as the side to be on versus Colorado Rockies, at 68% to win. A clear 68% edge — one of the cleaner spots on the board. Pitching matchup: Max Fried (2.73 ERA) vs Ryan Feltner (5.91 ERA).

Why we lean this way

  • Form & record: New York Yankees sit 83-62 (0.572), Colorado Rockies 55-90 (0.379).
  • Last 10: New York Yankees 7-3 (W2), Colorado Rockies 3-7 (L3). Hot streaks move these lines fast.
  • Run differential: New York Yankees +124, Colorado Rockies -147 on the year — the most honest measure of how good a team actually is, beyond their record.
  • On the mound: New York Yankees hand the ball to Max Fried; Colorado Rockies counter with Ryan Feltner. Starting pitching swings a baseball game more than any other factor.
  • Home field: worth about +3.5% to New York Yankees in our model.

The verdict

Bottom line: New York Yankees to win is a strong lean. Treat it like a 68% spot — not a sure thing, because there is no such thing. Size it sensibly and enjoy the game.

Logged to our public track record and graded after the final. We analyze; we never take wagers. 21+.

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