Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants grade out as the side to be on versus Colorado Rockies, at 52% to win. Essentially a coin flip at 52% — entertainment only, not a spot to press. Pitching matchup: Trevor McDonald (5.46 ERA) vs Michael Lorenzen (6.46 ERA).

Why we lean this way

• Form & record: San Francisco Giants sit 40-55 (0.421), Colorado Rockies 39-58 (0.402).
• Last 10: San Francisco Giants 5-5 (W1), Colorado Rockies 5-5 (L1). Hot streaks move these lines fast.
• Run differential: San Francisco Giants -66, Colorado Rockies -87 on the year — the most honest measure of how good a team actually is, beyond their record.
• On the mound: San Francisco Giants hand the ball to Trevor McDonald; Colorado Rockies counter with Michael Lorenzen. Starting pitching swings a baseball game more than any other factor.
• Home field: worth about +3.5% to San Francisco Giants in our model.

The verdict

Bottom line: San Francisco Giants to win is a near coin-flip. Treat it like a 52% spot — not a sure thing, because there is no such thing. Size it sensibly and enjoy the game.

Logged to our public track record and graded after the final. We analyze; we never take wagers. 21+.