Houston Astros vs New York Yankees

New York Yankees grade out as the side to be on versus Houston Astros, at 52% to win. Essentially a coin flip at 52% — entertainment only, not a spot to press.

Why we lean this way

• Form & record: New York Yankees sit 74-57 (0.565), Houston Astros 66-66 (0.500).
• Last 10: New York Yankees 6-4 (L1), Houston Astros 4-6 (W1). Hot streaks move these lines fast.
• Run differential: New York Yankees +98, Houston Astros -42 on the year — the most honest measure of how good a team actually is, beyond their record.
• On the mound: New York Yankees hand the ball to TBD; Houston Astros counter with Peter Lambert. Starting pitching swings a baseball game more than any other factor.
• Home field: worth about +3.5% to New York Yankees in our model.

The verdict

The play we like: New York Yankees. It is a near coin-flip at 52% — good value, not a lock. Bet what is fun to lose.

Logged to our public track record and graded after the final. We analyze; we never take wagers. 21+.