Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies

Colorado Rockies grade out as the side to be on versus Los Angeles Dodgers, at 52% to win. Essentially a coin flip at 52% — entertainment only, not a spot to press. Pitching matchup: Tomoyuki Sugano (4.43 ERA) vs Blake Snell (5.00 ERA).

Why we lean this way

• Form & record: Colorado Rockies sit 50-74 (0.403), Los Angeles Dodgers 74-51 (0.592).
• Last 10: Colorado Rockies 5-5 (W1), Los Angeles Dodgers 5-5 (L2). Hot streaks move these lines fast.
• Run differential: Colorado Rockies -113, Los Angeles Dodgers +136 on the year — the most honest measure of how good a team actually is, beyond their record.
• On the mound: Colorado Rockies hand the ball to Tomoyuki Sugano; Los Angeles Dodgers counter with Blake Snell. Starting pitching swings a baseball game more than any other factor.
• Home field: worth about +3.5% to Colorado Rockies in our model.

The verdict

Bottom line: Colorado Rockies to win is a near coin-flip. Treat it like a 52% spot — not a sure thing, because there is no such thing. Size it sensibly and enjoy the game.

Logged to our public track record and graded after the final. We analyze; we never take wagers. 21+.