New York Mets vs New York Yankees

New York Yankees grade out as the side to be on versus New York Mets, at 55% to win. A modest 55% lean — fine as a small play or a parlay leg. Pitching matchup: Cam Schlittler (2.01 ERA) vs Christian Scott (3.81 ERA).

Why we lean this way

• Form & record: New York Yankees sit 85-63 (0.574), New York Mets 69-79 (0.466).
• Last 10: New York Yankees 7-3 (L1), New York Mets 7-3 (W1). Hot streaks move these lines fast.
• Run differential: New York Yankees +123, New York Mets -32 on the year — the most honest measure of how good a team actually is, beyond their record.
• On the mound: New York Yankees hand the ball to Cam Schlittler; New York Mets counter with Christian Scott. Starting pitching swings a baseball game more than any other factor.
• Home field: worth about +3.5% to New York Yankees in our model.

The verdict

The play we like: New York Yankees. It is a slight lean at 55% — good value, not a lock. Bet what is fun to lose.

Logged to our public track record and graded after the final. We analyze; we never take wagers. 21+.