WNBA · 2026-06-19
Toronto Tempo vs Connecticut Sun
Mohegan Sun Arena
Toronto Tempo
7-8
VS
Connecticut Sun
2-14
80%
Toronto Tempo win probability · -124
Tale of the tape
80%Win probability20%
47%Win rate12%
Strong-124 · FanDuel
Toronto Tempo to win
Our model makes Toronto Tempo 80% to win, but the price only implies 55% — that 25-point gap is where the value is.
Toronto Tempo grade out as the side to be on versus Connecticut Sun, at 80% to win. A clear 80% edge — one of the cleaner spots on the board.
Why we lean this way
- Records: Connecticut Sun 2-14 at home vs Toronto Tempo 7-8.
- Home court: weighted at +6% for Connecticut Sun — home advantage swings bigger in the WNBA than most leagues.
- Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena.
The verdict
Bottom line: Toronto Tempo to win is a strong lean. Treat it like a 80% spot — not a sure thing, because there is no such thing. Size it sensibly and enjoy the game.
Logged to our public track record and graded after the final. We analyze; we never take wagers. 21+.
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