WNBA · 2026-06-19
Washington Mystics vs New York Liberty
Barclays Center
Washington Mystics
6-7
VS
New York Liberty
11-4
82%
New York Liberty win probability · -750
Tale of the tape
18%Win probability82%
46%Win rate73%
Strong-750 · BetMGM
New York Liberty to win
The market (88%) rates this higher than our model (82%) — no real edge, so we pass.
Our read leans New York Liberty over Washington Mystics — a 82% win probability once everything is weighed. A clear 82% edge — one of the cleaner spots on the board.
Why we lean this way
- Records: New York Liberty 11-4 at home vs Washington Mystics 6-7.
- Home court: weighted at +6% for New York Liberty — home advantage swings bigger in the WNBA than most leagues.
- Venue: Barclays Center.
The verdict
Where we land: New York Liberty, a strong lean. A 82% edge is worth backing, but variance is real — keep stakes reasonable.
Logged to our public track record and graded after the final. We analyze; we never take wagers. 21+.
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